Polymarket Trader

ivanovaloha

0x78cdf08a701e840dc35359823aabf157c64f450c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.27
Realized PnL: $701.44
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$540

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.74K
Potential profit: $20.74K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.29K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.23K
Potential profit: $14.23K
User PnL: -$4.8K

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59K
Potential profit: $6.59K
User PnL: -$2.15K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $3.46K
User PnL: -$796

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $34.27
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$65.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.45
Potential profit: $806.45
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718.11
Potential profit: $718.11
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125k August 11–17?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.5
Potential profit: $412.5
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will Nebius say "Neocloud" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.32
Potential profit: $325.32
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$48.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.19
Potential profit: $34.19
User PnL: -$14.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.13

Yes position

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.71

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.88

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.29

Yes position

Will Nebius say "Cash" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.09

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.26

Under position

Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$235.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 43% 34.19 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 667.13 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.9% 1,123.6 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 32.6% 6,370.59 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 33% 221.21 shares
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

Yes 13.9% 718.11 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 14,285.71 shares
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 27% 180 shares
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

No 39% 51.29 shares
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5

Under 78.5% 20.13 shares
Will Nebius say "Neocloud" during earnings call?

Yes 76.8% 325.32 shares
Will Nebius say "Cash" during earnings call?

Yes 90.1% 277.4 shares