Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $71.79
- Potential profit
- $66.41
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Polymarket Trader
0x78d4...7c98
0x78d42a1696187da02e22eeb8d164f57983bb7c98
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.1
- Realized PnL
- $1.57
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $68.71
- Potential profit
- $68.33
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $54.73
- Potential profit
- $54.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $30.38
- Potential payout
- $33.39
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?Yes 32.3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?No 23.5% 27 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?No 98% 5.1 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?Yes 41.4% 12.66 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?Yes 54% 0.02 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?Yes 55% 0.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?Yes 56% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?Yes 3.9% 49.13 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?Yes 25% 2.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 27?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 15% 1.33 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?Yes 30% 2.66 shares