Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.28
Polymarket Trader
Ceschod
0x78e399662d109b980a42759af0f54f1a75c6551b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $43.27
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 97 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 93.2% 49 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.7% 49 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 57 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 40 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 90 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 90 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 6 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 84.8% 54 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 84.9% 54 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 81 shares