Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$26.59
Polymarket Trader
chainwerks
0x78e49007a2b7f998f3a72e879f8a9ce2eefa4fb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $930.6
- Realized PnL
- $826.96
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $326.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $923.75
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $276.25
No position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $282.22
- Potential payout
- $733.05
- Potential profit
- $450.82
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $25.81
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $390.6
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $31.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $268.05
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$55.05
No position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.59
- Potential profit
- $258.59
- User PnL
- -$74.99
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.3
- Potential profit
- $245.3
- User PnL
- -$73.59
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Current value
- $89.27
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $44.2
No position
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $41.98
- Potential payout
- $74.31
- Potential profit
- $32.33
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $64.49
- Potential payout
- $64.68
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $11.45
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $22.72
- Potential profit
- $22.67
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.74
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.21
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.4
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.98
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.71
Yes position
Will there be No Shutdown?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$20.01
No position
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No 36% 175.67 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No 24% 320 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No 35% 180.55 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No 35% 185.71 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No 24% 333.33 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No 23% 347.82 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?No 40% 375 shares
- Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 82% 64.68 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 61% 74.31 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.2% 600 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 42.4% 11.36 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 42.4% 11.36 shares