Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
6000K
0x78ed8966161ea0a22f0719b9c04391c6ac22ab3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $533.76
- Realized PnL
- $7.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$22.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $17.37
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $65.7
- Potential payout
- $772.98
- Potential profit
- $707.28
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$134.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $639.89
- Potential profit
- $639.89
- User PnL
- -$118.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $432.4
- Potential payout
- $494.17
- Potential profit
- $61.77
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $382.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.07
- Potential profit
- $333.07
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.02
- Potential profit
- $324.02
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $156.62
- Potential profit
- $149.57
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$22.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.61
- Potential profit
- $155.61
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.49
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $135.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 3% 1,670.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?Yes 19.2% 156.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?Yes 28% 71.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?Yes 30.8% 97.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?Yes 11.4% 175.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?Yes 26.8% 186.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 97.5% 242.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 9.9% 1,010.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 9.4% 531.91 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 7.9% 127.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?Yes 28.3% 105.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 49.9% 102.3 shares