Polymarket Trader

the.legend.himself

0x78ee2c8de34c0f270aba4710af4cd19269905991

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.92K
Realized PnL: $548
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $56K
Potential profit: $54.4K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $714.67

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $28.42K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$754.65

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.83K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $428
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.57K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.98K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $554
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $387
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $157
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.3
Potential profit: $224.3
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.35

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.5

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.84

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.34

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.22

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.2

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.09

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 2,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 1,999.99 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3% 2,000 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3% 800 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.2% 200 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3% 110.15 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 630.4 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 1,000 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 8,000 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.4% 632.71 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3% 1,063.12 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3% 1,000 shares