No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $147.52
- Potential payout
- $163
- Potential profit
- $15.49
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.68
Polymarket Trader
estoesdemasiado
0x78f3c6e17346b26786bd6dfa2b475c68b30b9e18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.78
- Realized PnL
- $139.59
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$80.69
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$78.75
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$49.84
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.46
- Potential payout
- $99.46
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$82.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.26
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 23 above $285?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Fed abolished in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?No 99.6% 66.66 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 135.93 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 23 above $285?Yes 99.8% 225.69 shares
- Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 95% 351.62 shares
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 21.68 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 399.66 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 79% 100 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 81.1% 81.3 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 86.8% 100 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 89% 99.46 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?Yes 32.5% 30 shares
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 1.5% 21.68 shares