Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0x791502238B87aF8C278460AD9C859656ca9D4c1a-1778181369076
0x791502238b87af8c278460ad9c859656ca9d4c1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.36
- Realized PnL
- -$7.22
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $14.62
- Potential payout
- $258.71
- Potential profit
- $244.09
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $80.96
- Potential profit
- $80.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $3.72
- Potential payout
- $22.15
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- Multiplier
- 5.95x
- User PnL
- -$9.28
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $7.17
- Potential payout
- $11.48
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No 61% 11.48 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 56% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?No 80.7% 12.45 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?Yes 58.7% 22.15 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?Yes 22.8% 58.45 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 6.2% 80.96 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?Yes 34.2% 58.45 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 7.7% 258.71 shares
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No 75.2% 19.34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 74% 21.94 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 59.2% 21.94 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 32.78 shares