Polymarket Trader

erglykj

0x791583a6e5fd2ccc50e488e12fb818e59e458cc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $179.45
Realized PnL: $174.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $22.63
Potential payout: $291.95
Potential profit: $269.33
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$72.37

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $156.83
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $13.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $71.82

Jets position

Jets vs. Sharks

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.15
Potential profit: $121.15
User PnL: -$67.56

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.24
Potential profit: $21.24
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $8.13
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.78

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.52

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Zelensky resigns in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Xi visit the US by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 121.95 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Top Esports 28% 35.71 shares
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Yes 12.3% 8.13 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 61% 32.79 shares
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Yes 23% 21.24 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 72.4% 265.34 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 92.2% 197.98 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 92% 198.45 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

No 99.7% 41.66 shares
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

No 99.7% 116.81 shares