Polymarket Trader

0x7932E83f2A2b3f35D4578126efe2D26d4e52453F-1771996257773

0x7932e83f2a2b3f35d4578126efe2d26d4e52453f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.83
Realized PnL: $23.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.8
Potential profit: $113.8
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $101.92
Potential payout: $103.84
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.7%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $5.37
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $3.4
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $2.96
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.1%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $2.48
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.33

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 29.6%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 3.38x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

ENCE position

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 85.4% 1.17 shares
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 96.4% 1.04 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 97.4% 1.03 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 47% 2.13 shares