Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
Cryptosnatcher
0x7934962bb2f99751d81eb0ede56fb90f5f07a578
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $456.18
- Realized PnL
- $475.5
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $70.88
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $517.35
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$29.12
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $225.25
- Potential payout
- $555.48
- Potential profit
- $330.23
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $20.25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $89.79
- Potential payout
- $450.09
- Potential profit
- $360.3
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$60.21
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $70.42
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $32.65
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.35
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.06
- Potential profit
- $17.06
- User PnL
- -$4.95
USA position
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be below 2,000,000 voters?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Will Trump nationalize elections?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.3
Yes position
Will the AP call the election on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.42
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $28.58
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $11.89
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
2024 September hottest on record?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump in jail before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?
Ends Nov 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 60.9% 1,642.04 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 87% 62.5 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No 95% 40 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 61% 49.18 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.7% 545.28 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.8% 21.79 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 41% 243.9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 27% 370.37 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 28.4% 70.42 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 48% 108.1 shares