Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $98.71
- Potential payout
- $15.19K
- Potential profit
- $15.09K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.59
Polymarket Trader
Altria
0x793d214fd47833e96d6abdf866ae62512fd18720
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.16
- Realized PnL
- $10.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- User PnL
- -$15.67
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $93.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $280
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $45.7
- Potential payout
- $222.93
- Potential profit
- $177.23
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.91
No position
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.98
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.97
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.89
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.72
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.57
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.37
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.1
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.34
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 21% 222.92 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes 18.9% 350 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes 2% 6,000 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 4,285.71 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 642.86 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 338.7 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 257.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 7% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 10% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 31% 338.71 shares