Polymarket Trader

robert8888

0x7946ffdb6799dd706179a834d4dde14fce2d910a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $925.76
Realized PnL: -$455.1
Win rate: 29.4%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $509.73
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$290.27

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $134.96
Potential payout: $884.96
Potential profit: $750
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $34.96

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $72.92
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $522.32
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$27.08

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $109.67
Potential payout: $552.49
Potential profit: $442.82
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.02
Potential profit: $251.02
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $98.48
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $53.03
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.32
Potential profit: $91.32
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.46

Yes position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72.43

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 33.7% 89.12 shares
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 29.2% 138.88 shares
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 36% 138.89 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 11.3% 884.96 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.8% 595.24 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.1% 552.49 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 58% 51.72 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 63.9% 46.95 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 21.9% 91.32 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Yes 37% 54.05 shares
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 8% 344.64 shares
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Yes 39.8% 251.02 shares