Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0x7948cD31274Ad2C8bb7F7D5EceE112218c82bdE1-1773633076723
0x7948cd31274ad2c8bb7f7d5ecee112218c82bde1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.74
- Realized PnL
- $1.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- User PnL
- -$1.84
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.42
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 60.9% 2.63 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 41% 5.12 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 66% 2.42 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 71% 2.59 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.7% 2.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 2.63 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.3% 1.11 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 44% 6.82 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.7% 1.23 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65% 5.08 shares