No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $77
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
Konkatenal
0x794df6ffb251fb7e5b37399259a8a480e6851c5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123
- Realized PnL
- $12.32
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 40.1% 51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 172.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 25% 114.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 124.05 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49% 4.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 47% 60 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 53% 60 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 78% 35.05 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 16.5% 50 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 16% 50 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Yes 3.2% 50 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 84% 30 shares