Polymarket Trader

darren66

0x79581527a8159065bdc828488e42d9a7f84956d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.21
Realized PnL: $1.39
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $2.89
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Giants position

Giants vs. Raiders

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Suns position

Clippers vs. Suns

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.39

Jets position

Dolphins vs. Jets

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.48

Chargers position

Texans vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No 80% 2.89 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

No 63% 2.52 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 4.66 shares
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 22.5% 6.18 shares
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

No 64% 1.63 shares
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

No 19% 6.53 shares
Giants vs. Raiders

Giants 52% 2.19 shares
Texans vs. Chargers

Chargers 54% 4.65 shares
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 75% 3.45 shares
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?

No 79.7% 1.48 shares
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?

Yes 72% 2.53 shares
Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 79% 3.14 shares