Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $9.13
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Polymarket Trader
0x7959...cb42
0x79592b265b687e8c0962eff8415891d86c9bcb42
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $42.03
- Realized PnL
- $14.84
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $7.09
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $7.05
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $6.77
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.96
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 70.2% 7.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.8% 7.05 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 76% 6.08 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Up 36% 7.5 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?No 45% 8.8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.1% 136.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 47% 9 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 72% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 27% 6 shares