Polymarket Trader

figman

0x795d5367a30af031893c9df589f74618b58763e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.09K
Realized PnL: $10.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $21.52
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$54.44

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $591.7
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $653.99
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $172.19

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $814.9
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $185.1
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$15.1

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $144.98
Potential payout: $999.87
Potential profit: $854.89
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $70.02

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $382.94
Potential payout: $922.75
Potential profit: $539.81
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$26.03

No position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $37.13
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $712.88
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $472.5
Potential profit: $466.59
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$15.83

Yes position

Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $218.17
Potential payout: $411.64
Potential profit: $193.47
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $387.74
Potential payout: $393.45
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $266.66
Potential profit: $260.13
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$7.07

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$63.75

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $144.38
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $20.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $135.03
Potential payout: $144.65
Potential profit: $9.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $25.1

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $48.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $51.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.46
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$26.46

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.05
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$16.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $53.1
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 82.3%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $24.25
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Jimmy Butler get traded?

Ends Feb 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $839.07

Yes position

Will no one/someone else win the Bachelorette?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $548.83

Yes position

Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.58

Yes position

Another Biden beach day in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.93

Yes position

Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.6

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479

Knicks position

NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.65

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.5

Yes position

Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.82

Yes position

Will the Patriots draft Will Campbell?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.81

No position

Will Drake release an album in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.4

Yes position

Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Golden State Warriors?

Ends Feb 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.2

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.17

No position

Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.49

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.9

Yes position

Will the New York Mets make the Playoffs?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.51

No position

Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?

Ends Feb 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.15

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.45

Yes position

Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted in the First Round?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.23

No position

Will the Titans draft a Quarterback?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.76

Yes position

Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 165 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 97.9% 393.45 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 42% 345 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 17% 59 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 1,000 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 46% 350 shares
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

No 4.5% 750 shares
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 45.6% 170.03 shares
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

No 99.9% 10,000 shares
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

No 50.7% 66.53 shares
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?

No 94% 500 shares
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?

No 93% 615 shares