Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Polymarket Trader
qiangpozheng001
0x796b3968daf4fc3961419dabea986e25a485783e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.25
- Realized PnL
- $0.34
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $3.51
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $3.36
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.1%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 3.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 65% 4.55 shares
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 85.5% 3.51 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 68% 2.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 50% 6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 70% 2.86 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 93.9% 1.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 5?Yes 95.8% 1.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?Yes 93% 1.07 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?No 40% 2.5 shares
- Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 88.3% 1.13 shares