Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $37.67
- Potential payout
- $228.29
- Potential profit
- $190.62
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Polymarket Trader
polyliqk
0x79769cdd10894a14ef4951e74ce989e7fa38f3dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $251.59
- Realized PnL
- $549.71
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $91
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $109
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $82.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $12.17
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.83
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.33
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.7%
- Current value
- $27.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.68
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$10.33
Yes position
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.47
- Potential profit
- $40.47
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.29
No position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.97
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- $76.14
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.93
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $31.02
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.65
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
Yes position
NBA: SGA Award Parlay
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Fakers position
Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.6% 50 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.2% 40 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 97.6% 45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 43% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 43.2% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 50 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 78.2% 50 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 78.2% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 200 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 17.7% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70% 5 shares