Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.67K
- Potential profit
- $40.67K
- User PnL
- -$202.13
Polymarket Trader
Cobra.
0x797f96327e128ff4fbb1dee703b36f16f75aaa36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.91K
- Realized PnL
- $8.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $811.49
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.89K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $789.71
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$25.63
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $192.43
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$804.34
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.4%
- Current value
- $424.9
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $975.1
- Multiplier
- 3.29x
- User PnL
- $322.7
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$488
No position
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90.36
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $927.28
- Potential profit
- $927.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $76.49
- Potential payout
- $885.34
- Potential profit
- $808.84
- Multiplier
- 11.57x
- User PnL
- -$23.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.8
- Potential profit
- $699.8
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.76
- Potential profit
- $556.76
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.36
- Potential profit
- $543.36
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.12
- Potential profit
- $454.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $441.29
- Potential profit
- $441.29
- User PnL
- -$50
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $411.46
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.79
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.88
- Potential profit
- $247.88
- User PnL
- -$150
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.46
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.19
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.68
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.01
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.26
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $392.09
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $322.56
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.83
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.82
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.79
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.11
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.03
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.19
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.7
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.62
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.93
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.3% 545.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.2% 548.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.3% 546.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 19.6% 1,020.69 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 75.9% 1,274.34 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 12% 416.67 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 21% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,428.57 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 11.3% 885.34 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 45.4% 1,102.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 4% 1,102.44 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.3% 1,501.45 shares