Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $798.45
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $420.55
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Polymarket Trader
ad4mm
0x798aa184bdfe366e6dc9d7585cde379885df9708
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $800.37
- Realized PnL
- -$167.45
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $348.08
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$144.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.4% 350 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 65% 1,219 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 18.8% 828.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 71.6% 630.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 36.7% 272.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 36% 277.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 36% 277.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 64% 156.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 60% 166.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 65% 153.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 65% 153.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 1% 2,500 shares