No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $760.36
- Potential payout
- $14.48K
- Potential profit
- $13.72K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Polymarket Trader
0x79a1...34b5
0x79a14b2a3eddd65296f6a85158d7eaf1491734b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.7K
- Realized PnL
- -$206.6
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $593.2
- Potential payout
- $9.13K
- Potential profit
- $8.53K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $506.08
- Potential payout
- $6.75K
- Potential profit
- $6.24K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$33.74
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $653.47
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.57K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $186.55
- Potential payout
- $829.12
- Potential profit
- $642.57
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$12.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.21
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $72.76
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $16.58
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$10.41
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.19
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$754.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 6,747.75 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.8% 8,431.35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.9% 8,431.36 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 414.58 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 103.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 310.92 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 819.66 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes 6.1% 3,952.68 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 2,692.61 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes 5.5% 1,164.55 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 331.66 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 26.9% 167.03 shares