Polymarket Trader

0xOTd

0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.16K
Realized PnL: $5.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $539
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $13.75

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $393.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $339.85
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $10.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $34.18

No position

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $296.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.92

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $271.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $67.5

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $258.39
Potential payout: $264.61
Potential profit: $6.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.53

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $187
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $197.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $191.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $129.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $134.89
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $29.89

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $118.98
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $1.02
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $94.54
Potential payout: $106.82
Potential profit: $12.28
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.88

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $7.64
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $21.76
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$6.21

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $3.14
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$2.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $665.67

No position

Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.4

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $423.38

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $274

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.2

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.08

Yes position

Will Poland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.99

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.95

Yes position

Will Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $108.2

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.9

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.3

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $103.45

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $101.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.73

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.91

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.37

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

No 84% 120 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?

Up 27% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 200 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 38% 300 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 70% 100 shares
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 96.4% 120 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 150 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Down 58% 15.46 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

No 96% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

No 96% 100 shares
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 95.3% 30 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

No 91% 250 shares