oskariz

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $114.35
Potential profit: $112.06
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $85.68
Potential profit: $83.37
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.16
Potential profit: $83.16
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $54.76
Potential profit: $54.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.07
Potential profit: $51.07
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $40.63
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $38.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $38.89
Potential profit: $34.42
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.85
Potential profit: $38.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.21
Potential profit: $38.21
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $38.07
Potential profit: $32.15
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36.02
Potential profit: $36.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.35
Potential profit: $31.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $29.51
Potential profit: $27.92
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.18
Potential profit: $27.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $25.09
Potential profit: $19.57
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.25
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $22.43
Potential profit: $20.98
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.99
Potential profit: $21.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.45
Potential profit: $21.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET