Polymarket Trader

Melbo

0x79dc6c30f785b418f09ad1d7b8b564c7088451b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.61
Realized PnL: -$112.91
Win rate: 29.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.39K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $60.57
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.44

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $57.07
Potential payout: $975.61
Potential profit: $918.54
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $17.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $931.12
Potential profit: $931.12
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $882.35
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $875
Potential profit: $872.81
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $793.07
Potential profit: $793.07
User PnL: -$28.53

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $38.43
Potential payout: $739.02
Potential profit: $700.59
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $13.43

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.74
Potential profit: $727.74
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $705.36
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.29

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.43

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.47

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.16

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.99

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 14.45 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 377.36 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 583.33 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 2,397.5 shares
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group F?

Yes 8% 212.5 shares
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?

Yes 26.5% 37.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 124.22 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 121.21 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Yes 3.3% 151.88 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 3.3% 151.67 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.4% 367.08 shares