Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Polymarket Trader
xuanwu96
0x79e493e3a2802225a2fc8e9a3f8fa30ce3e33eae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.83
- Realized PnL
- $20.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $416
- Potential profit
- $414.75
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $22.15
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.28
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $10.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $9.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 13?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 12?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 12?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 12?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?Yes 13.7% 75.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 11?Yes 3.3% 72.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 11?Yes 7.9% 131 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 12?Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 12?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 11?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on July 11?Yes 0.2% 500 shares