Yes position
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Polymarket Trader
shadowanna
0x79ed1a927c909378905fc1dfeebee399f2c56a24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $142.32
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.74
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B?Yes 95.6% 45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.7% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.6% 35 shares
- Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No 99.9% 73 shares
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 6.7% 89.65 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 98.8% 19 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 99% 99.81 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 97.6% 12 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98% 78 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 1.8% 206 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 1.5% 206 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No 93.1% 139 shares