Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.17K
- Potential profit
- $5.17K
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
Killgame
0x7a027d5319abddccd07f56f37c021fbeae297708
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $215.9
- Realized PnL
- $13.26
- Win rate
- 15.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $322.62
- Potential profit
- $321.82
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.19
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $50.05
- Potential payout
- $126.38
- Potential profit
- $76.33
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $47.34
- Potential payout
- $108.83
- Potential profit
- $61.49
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $69.97
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.96
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $65.14
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $29.73
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $22.9
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.56
- Potential profit
- $41.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.78
- Potential profit
- $34.78
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.2%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.12
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.56
No position
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.31
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.14
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$19.01
China position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 45.9% 108.83 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 56% 71.43 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 42.2% 93.39 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 12% 107.14 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.7% 179.64 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 125 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 36% 63.29 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.9% 84.16 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 64.1 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 52% 19.23 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 53.5% 93.4 shares