No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $465
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $535
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $115
Polymarket Trader
yuansir
0x7a091425c544ae8b25c1dd6592472aab15508cdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $961.25
- Realized PnL
- -$263.88
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $496.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $83.25
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.74
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.47
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 500 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.7% 352.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Yes 44% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 41% 25.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 35% 1,623.58 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 17% 1,973.68 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 0.9% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No 96.1% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No 96% 300 shares