Polymarket Trader

0x7a0f7d26C0c0BDaD3b627b657e40b5Bf36bBD5f5-1781531394285

0x7a0f7d26c0c0bdad3b627b657e40b5bf36bbd5f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.32
Realized PnL: -$4.31
Win rate: 4.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.8%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Haiti position

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 51% 1.96 shares
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 59% 1.69 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 1.72 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 1.78 shares