No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $23.38K
- Potential profit
- $21.74K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.7K
Polymarket Trader
Bigticket21
0x7a199407d6919c50c95e8a764eeb835ddb71fe01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.15K
- Realized PnL
- $215.83
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $9.05K
- Potential profit
- $7.74K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $203.75
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $40.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.67
- Potential profit
- $303.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,630 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 17.5% 2,863.24 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 26.3% 1,142.25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 32% 459.14 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 31.7% 1,575.09 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 18% 2,777.78 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 29% 72.46 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 25% 1,140.11 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 46.4% 21.55 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 46.5% 172.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 17.6% 382.66 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 47.1% 2,750.22 shares