No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.17
Polymarket Trader
Raymond.Hawking
0x7a1bbdda6de3ec0ac4b4023b4c23c05304aa1c78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.87
- Realized PnL
- $441.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $12.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?Yes 66% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 59% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?No 49% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?No 46.3% 22.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?No 38% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?No 21.6% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?No 27% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?No 34.6% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 47% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?No 44.3% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 63% 20 shares