Polymarket Trader

0x7a22768071ac79884C6A046ca3Be42f277C0b2d5-1769779989888

0x7a22768071ac79884c6a046ca3be42f277c0b2d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.06
Realized PnL: $180.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be less than $1.50 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana reach $190 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $209
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $185
User PnL: -$1

LNG Esports position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.17
Potential profit: $89.17
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.86
Potential profit: $72.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.58
Potential profit: $61.58
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.63
Potential profit: $58.63
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $52.54
Potential payout: $57.42
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $37.9
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.18
Potential profit: $23.18
User PnL: -$9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.51
Potential profit: $20.51
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.78
Potential profit: $14.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.99
Potential profit: $13.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.7
Potential profit: $10.7
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $10.25
User PnL: -$4.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Yakutou Brothers position

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

LNG Esports position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

VP.Prodigy position

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Mariano win at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

No 87.1% 57.42 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 2.57 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 1.13 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 78.7% 63.51 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 79% 4.86 shares