Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $61.37
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $9.38K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $33.04
Polymarket Trader
buffetw
0x7a22aeec347920a2b0ce2b900aa1d5097467fca9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.97
- Realized PnL
- $2.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $492.75
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$35.39
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $354
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $107
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $59
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $141
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $38.36
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $98.63
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
JD Gaming position
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Team Vitality position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116
Yes position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.22
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.5
Team Vitality position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.99
Natus Vincere position
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Team Vitality position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.5
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.7
Natus Vincere position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Fnatic position
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.28
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.25
SK Gaming position
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.75
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $80
SK Gaming position
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 28% 200 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 4% 220 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 50% 200 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 4% 220 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 44% 220 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 50% 200 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.1% 500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 6.9% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.5% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 29.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 25.6% 100 shares