No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $306.01
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $139.6
Polymarket Trader
h4xor
0x7a251ff68217a0418a8f7eddede5b638f8c881d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.6K
- Realized PnL
- $32.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $980.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $527.76
- Potential payout
- $561.45
- Potential profit
- $33.69
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.3
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $403.23
- Potential payout
- $403.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $41.71
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $315
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $114.98
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.68
- Potential profit
- $247.68
- User PnL
- -$201.71
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70.02
- Potential payout
- $70.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.61
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.73
- Potential profit
- $49.73
- User PnL
- -$44.26
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
New Pope announced by May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $986.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.76
Yes position
700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.51
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.48
No position
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.21
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.85
No position
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.57
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.9
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.88
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.1
No position
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.44
No position
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $521.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast's video get 85 million or more views on day 6?No 9% 143 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?No 68.6% 98.43 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes 89% 49.73 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?No 90% 149.25 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes 7% 16.71 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes 7% 63 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 63.5% 315 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes 83% 30 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 2.4% 31.16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?No 99.8% 235.76 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No 99.9% 199.95 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?No 76.8% 135.76 shares