Polymarket Trader

k1rrne4

0x7a28536f8b64bd0d483c7f14f303f69e8fae1df7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.62
Realized PnL: $3.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$108.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$76.2

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $844.95
Potential profit: $844.95
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.83
Potential profit: $787.83
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.42
Potential profit: $764.42
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.52
Potential profit: $602.52
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $569.48
Potential profit: $569.48
User PnL: -$21.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $76.69
Potential payout: $561.8
Potential profit: $485.11
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $26.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $528.49
Potential profit: $528.49
User PnL: -$131.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.74
Potential profit: $525.74
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.13
Potential profit: $523.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $34.44
Potential payout: $510.2
Potential profit: $475.77
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$15.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503
Potential profit: $503
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.23
Potential profit: $479.23
User PnL: -$34.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462.75
Potential profit: $462.75
User PnL: -$81.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.61
Potential profit: $436.61
User PnL: -$38.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $427.94
Potential profit: $427.94
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424
Potential profit: $424
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.11
Potential profit: $373.11
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $233.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $207.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43% 58.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 22.8% 65.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 13% 210 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 23.8% 210 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 39.1% 59.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 26.1% 166.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 14.6% 171.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 12.3% 214.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 23.4% 214.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 30% 166.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 21% 238.1 shares