0x7a3629BEC4CB663F6C56a1492c47a03E1f7D123E-1772646377089

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$57.6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$8.4

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.21
Potential profit: $277.21
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.32
Potential profit: $161.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$5.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.07
Potential profit: $133.07
User PnL: -$27.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.96
Potential profit: $124.96
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $109.99
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.52
Potential profit: $91.52
User PnL: -$28.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.6
Potential profit: $81.6
User PnL: -$14.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.85
Potential profit: $78.85
User PnL: -$32.93

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$19.69

No position

Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.23
Potential profit: $42.23
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.02
Potential profit: $41.02
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.4
Potential profit: $28.4
User PnL: -$14.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Down position

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 15)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Trump post "Spain" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)