No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $92
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $108
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
xfm-8-4
0x7a40e3608c5956bb6e1ba2509780794b08a653b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92
- Realized PnL
- $13.02
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.59
- Potential profit
- $186.59
- User PnL
- -$108.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.4
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.2
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $9.43
No position
Will Nebius say "Neocloud" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Apple reach $336 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$197.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 58% 186.59 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 57% 6.79 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 58% 183.21 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 53% 190 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?No 50% 390 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?No 24% 390 shares
- Will Apple reach $336 in February?No 98.5% 190 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No 97.9% 140 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No 96.8% 140 shares