No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $4.56K
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $525.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $577.76
Polymarket Trader
hooonthor
0x7a4c9410d88906567c5e718898cd9fded5fdd411
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.24K
- Realized PnL
- $3.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $663.6
- Potential payout
- $722.87
- Potential profit
- $59.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $13.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.15
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $41.87
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$27.09
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.14
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.99
No position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.06
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192
Yes position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.62
No position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.91
No position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.2
Yes position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.91
No position
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.94
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.17
Yes position
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.11
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.6
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.11
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.42
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 89.2% 336.39 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 89.2% 336.49 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 83% 48.19 shares
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 82.5% 121.23 shares
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 82% 121.95 shares
- Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes 91% 60 shares
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 76.9% 390.24 shares
- Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 12.4% 4,131.97 shares
- Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 23% 348.09 shares