Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $111.85
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $15.98
Polymarket Trader
0x7a55993533A285C38479e312c3aEb8B0828c6Ce4-1776776398025
0x7a55993533a285c38479e312c3aeb8b0828c6ce4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $708.44
- Realized PnL
- $4.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $369.99
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $160.27
- Potential payout
- $230.64
- Potential profit
- $70.37
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $56.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $43.51
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $23.49
No position
Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.04
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.5
Grigor Dimitrov position
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrov
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.15
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.04
Sinner position
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.02
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.33
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $187.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.43
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.77
Grigor Dimitrov position
Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $135
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.23
Zverev position
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.57
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.1
Yes position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.38
Yes position
Trump announces US troop reduction in Germany by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.17
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes 47.9% 111.32 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 182.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 390 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 210 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 266.34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 733.65 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No 91% 17 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?No 87% 25 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 69% 45.46 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 47% 80.45 shares
- Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?No 94% 50 shares