Polymarket Trader

Gambler1968

0x7a6192ea6815d3177e978dd3f8c38be5f575af24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.37K
Realized PnL: $123.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $17.99K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$6.99K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $17.99K
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $4.02K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.99K

Yes position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $96
Potential payout: $14.77K
Potential profit: $14.67K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $51.69

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $76.26
Potential payout: $11.73K
Potential profit: $11.66K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $41.06

Yes position

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $75.6
Potential payout: $11.63K
Potential profit: $11.56K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $40.71

Yes position

Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.22K
Potential profit: $11.22K
User PnL: -$33.4

No position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$21.65

No position

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$940

No position

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $64.24
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.82K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $34.59

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.56K
Potential profit: $7.56K
User PnL: -$1.36K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.51K
Potential profit: $7.51K
User PnL: -$60.08

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.3K
Potential payout: $7.3K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.01K

No position

Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $6.99K
User PnL: -$2.24K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $6.89K
Potential profit: $6.73K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$51.67

No position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$607.68

Yes position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62K
Potential profit: $6.62K
User PnL: -$909.47

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.61K
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.83K

No position

Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$1.39K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$3.26K

No position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$1.5K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.08K
Potential profit: $6.08K
User PnL: -$1.22K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jones position

UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jones

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5K

No position

Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08K

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91K

No position

Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41K

No position

Will Tennessee win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14K

No position

Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05K

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97K

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

No position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62K

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22K

No position

Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72K

No position

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63K

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54K

No position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

No position

Megaquake in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 1,999.99 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 1,773.3 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 5,400 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 4,623 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

No 99.6% 4,531.99 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91% 3,303.73 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 7.8% 114 shares
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 234.25 shares
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.5% 207.63 shares
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 234.25 shares
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 234.25 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 34.25 shares