Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.78K
- Potential profit
- $43.78K
- User PnL
- -$108.22
Polymarket Trader
atomicannie
0x7a8048a6618824bb607b293bf03cb62b7174729c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.66K
- Realized PnL
- $17.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.75K
- Potential profit
- $7.75K
- User PnL
- -$68.83
Yes position
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- User PnL
- -$141.33
Yes position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $59.75
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$51.44
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $29.92
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$71.51
Yes position
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $28.68
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.96
Yes position
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $19.87
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $79.71
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $32.28
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $394.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $19.71
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$482.43
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $12.62
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.16
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$58.51
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $107.2
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $63.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $57.55
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$277.56
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $220
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $880
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$111
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $223.9
- Potential payout
- $861.17
- Potential profit
- $637.27
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$114.84
Yes position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $154.64
- Potential payout
- $813.9
- Potential profit
- $659.26
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $12.28
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $772
- Potential payout
- $772
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $423.83
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.13
- Potential profit
- $766.13
- User PnL
- -$376.49
Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $12.91
- Potential payout
- $679.22
- Potential profit
- $666.31
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.16
- Potential profit
- $601.16
- User PnL
- -$22.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545
- Potential profit
- $545
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $539.82
- Potential profit
- $520.39
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $17.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.58
- Potential profit
- $537.58
- User PnL
- -$60.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.29
- Potential profit
- $531.29
- User PnL
- -$17.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.56
- Potential profit
- $528.56
- User PnL
- -$30.18
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525.06
- Potential profit
- $525.06
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $522.86
- Potential profit
- $522.86
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.39
- Potential profit
- $515.39
- User PnL
- -$15.62
Yes position
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.91
- Potential profit
- $513.91
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.84
- Potential profit
- $503.84
- User PnL
- -$14.08
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$195
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $490.24
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.86
- Potential profit
- $457.86
- User PnL
- -$257.36
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.59
- Potential profit
- $454.59
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.16
- Potential profit
- $454.16
- User PnL
- -$32.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$51.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $63.28
- Potential payout
- $361.62
- Potential profit
- $298.34
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$171.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$98.6
No position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.8
- Potential profit
- $339.8
- User PnL
- -$30.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91K
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.68
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $805.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.06
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.51
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $353.45
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.82
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $239.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.79
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.53
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
Yes position
Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.32
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.08
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.24
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.69
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.89
Yes position
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.69
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.58
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Slave" or "Slavery" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.27
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.04
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.92
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.72
Yes position
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.51
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $47.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 7,322.04 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.1% 17,871.46 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?Down 22% 145.32 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?Down 4% 15.39 shares
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 1.9% 2,417.61 shares
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 1.4% 595.54 shares
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 5.5% 200 shares
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 5% 115.3 shares
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 2.1% 1,128.33 shares
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 0.9% 687.37 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.4% 17,584.07 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.8% 251.94 shares