Polymarket Trader

cbfyrd

0x7a84fa5f00c65c16f3bb88b61dfee2ec60ace60b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $193.74
Realized PnL: $3.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.18
Potential profit: $373.18
User PnL: -$294.81

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $193.74
Potential payout: $205.02
Potential profit: $11.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.28
Potential profit: $155.28
User PnL: -$147.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.14
Potential profit: $74.14
User PnL: -$37.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Panthers position

Kings vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.14

White Sox position

Blue Jays vs. White Sox

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.19

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 98.3% 162.53 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 97.1% 159.76 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 93.8% 50 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 95.5% 15.09 shares
Kings vs. Panthers

Panthers 57% 6,899.96 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 96.8% 132.74 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

No 97.9% 27.22 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?

No 99.6% 109.03 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

No 98% 63.28 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

No 96.2% 197.26 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

No 98.2% 189.76 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

No 98.6% 173.3 shares