Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $21.21K
- User PnL
- -$128.98
Polymarket Trader
DarthTyranus
0x7a890801d4d823bc85b3009b1147b4a3f135ff1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.59
- Realized PnL
- $2.55K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.08K
- Potential profit
- $15.08K
- User PnL
- -$120.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- User PnL
- -$336.29
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $8.46K
- Potential profit
- $8.46K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$414.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$32.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.8K
- User PnL
- -$291.98
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $5.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$189.15
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$78.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.96K
- Potential profit
- $4.96K
- User PnL
- -$103.26
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $40.37
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $46.92
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $10.93
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$156
Yes position
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$205.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- User PnL
- -$14.06
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.78
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$46.98
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$85.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.74
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.22
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.32
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.24
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.36
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.31
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Nuclear" 5+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?Yes 0.6% 480.47 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes 1% 1,032 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 4% 375.4 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 333.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.8% 500 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes 0.5% 2,486.78 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 272.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 2,777.78 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 500 shares