ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $557.5
Potential profit: $553.32
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $284
Potential profit: $283.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $60.74
Potential payout: $96.42
Potential profit: $35.67
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $65.26
Potential profit: $64.12
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.88
Potential profit: $56.88
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $35.79
Potential profit: $34.8
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$3.37

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $22.86
Potential profit: $21.97
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $21.35
Potential profit: $20.93
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $19.57
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $15.13
Potential payout: $18.23
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $15.03
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $15.73
Potential profit: $15.55
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.22
Potential profit: $15.22
User PnL: -$10.85

No position

Haiti elections delayed again?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $14.23
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $14.18
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$4.55

No position

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $14.16
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $12.83
Potential payout: $13.13
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $11.46
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $9.62
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $9.66
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 5.99x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $9.11
User PnL: -$7.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 89.8%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?