Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.64K
- Potential profit
- $11.64K
- User PnL
- -$82.69
Polymarket Trader
ACara
0x7ab6ac0f0d6ca5a15ec57abeaf413d31c8cdfa77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.77
- Realized PnL
- $19.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.91K
- Potential profit
- $9.91K
- User PnL
- -$21.53
No position
Will BTS release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48K
- Potential profit
- $7.48K
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $42.93
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $6.56K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$12.87
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- User PnL
- -$73.53
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- User PnL
- -$32.6
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.24K
- Potential profit
- $6.24K
- User PnL
- -$58.86
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.91K
- User PnL
- -$17.99
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- User PnL
- -$22.6
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $35.47
- Potential payout
- $5.46K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $39.96
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- User PnL
- -$24.95
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $37.4
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $7.48
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$412.31
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $30.82
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.71K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Netflix reach $228 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.7K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- User PnL
- -$124.48
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $43.7
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.56K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $32.93
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $27.8
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$14.97
Yes position
No token launch by March 31
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- -$33.89
Yes position
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$20.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2K
Dan position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.13
No position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $902.77
Yes position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.87
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $826.82
Delhi position
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.14
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $740.81
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.65
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.69
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.32
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.17
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.8
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.14
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $607.08
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $601.68
Yes position
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $588.59
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.4
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $576.15
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $531.15
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $530.09
Yes position
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 0.4% 596.39 shares
- Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?Yes 6.4% 30.86 shares
- Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?Yes 5.9% 242.89 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 0.4% 50.06 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.2% 522.64 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 0.4% 130 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.2% 316.64 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.2% 95.97 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.3% 730 shares
- Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?Yes 0.3% 5 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 3.2% 47.02 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 153.9 shares