Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $451.89
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$768.43
Polymarket Trader
SenatorPalpatine
0x7ab8159e9547f291c4bc8afaf0f69b7a55a7eb56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $511.74
- Realized PnL
- $1.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$823.69
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$604.37
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$326.66
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $876.51
- Potential profit
- $876.08
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$361.07
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $807.99
- Potential profit
- $807.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$139.19
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $807.68
- Potential profit
- $807.68
- User PnL
- -$176.19
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $760
- Potential profit
- $760
- User PnL
- -$110.78
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $719.98
- Potential profit
- $719.62
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$272.93
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.98
- Potential profit
- $319.98
- User PnL
- -$231.59
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$69.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.62
- Potential profit
- $280.62
- User PnL
- -$173.93
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $144.5
- Potential profit
- $143.34
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $81.92
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$30.25
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.17
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $11.39
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $8.92
- Potential payout
- $19.83
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.56
- Potential payout
- $19.83
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $17.15
- Potential payout
- $19.83
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $519.09
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.57
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $144.52
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.02
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.58
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.51
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $29.18
Michigan Wolverines position
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 57.7% 10 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 57% 485.62 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 40% 19.83 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 70% 10.72 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 70% 35 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 69.9% 15.62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No 8.9% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 34.6% 36.58 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 50% 5.14 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No 10.5% 59 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 51% 212 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 51% 43 shares