Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $472.94
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $316.73
Polymarket Trader
Rondon
0x7acd2773732fb8bf7cf0497635103e7272bcae09
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.75K
- Realized PnL
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $481.73
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $470.44
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$108.61
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $79
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $121
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $116.36
- Potential payout
- $151.12
- Potential profit
- $34.76
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $10.55
Yes position
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $44.34
- Potential profit
- $44.23
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $440.21
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.98
No position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $221.26
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.03
Yes position
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.8
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $57.99
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $18.98
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $10.68
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes 1.3% 100 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 92.1% 1,499.98 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 94.2% 600 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 15% 1,056.67 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 31% 141 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 23% 983.88 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 23% 436.73 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 19.7% 1,142.28 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 22% 1,754.67 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 21.8% 1,050 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 20.6% 858.39 shares