Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $11.91K
- Potential profit
- $11.91K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Polymarket Trader
0x7AcDae71c7413586E289700BfEED866eE3a11086-1768418567426
0x7acdae71c7413586e289700bfeed866ee3a11086
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.24
- Realized PnL
- $7.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.37K
- User PnL
- -$81.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$22.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.71K
- User PnL
- -$57.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$34.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- -$52.17
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$21.41
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- User PnL
- -$49.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$107.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$46.24
Yes position
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Andrej Kramariฤ be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$16.5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$37.82
Yes position
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $951.92
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $948.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $579
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $453.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $447.83
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $379.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $338.2
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.37
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.54
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.32
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.15
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.14
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.73
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.08
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $187.19
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.84
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $124.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 21% 52.38 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 4% 349.41 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.1% 188.29 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 1,106 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15?Yes 3% 205 shares
- Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 1.3% 60 shares
- Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares